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2024-12-14 09:35:32

The relevant person in charge of the Monetary Policy Department of the People's Bank of China said that next year, we will deepen the market-oriented reform of the exchange rate, strengthen the management of exchange rate expectations, effectively respond to external shocks, resolutely guard against the risk of exchange rate overshoot, and maintain the basic stability of the RMB exchange rate at a reasonable and balanced level. The People's Bank of China will also improve the overall effectiveness of policies in accordance with the requirements put forward by the Central Economic Work Conference.This week, the Shanghai Stock Exchange took written warning and other regulatory measures against 202 abnormal securities trading behaviors, such as lifting and suppressing, false declaration, etc., focused on monitoring the delisting risk warning stocks such as *ST Zhuo Lang, conducted special inspections on 14 major events of listed companies, and reported one clue of suspected illegal cases to the CSRC.Judging from the content of the meeting, we need to focus on three aspects, one is to continue to boost consumption, the other is to promote the development of private economy, and the last is to develop high technology. Combined with the current market situation, it can be seen that the consumption line will continue. Even if the short-term increase is too large and there is adjustment, the high probability will not end here, because from the monthly trend of individual sectors, there is still room for further increase, but we need to remind everyone that when the short-term increase is too large and too fast, remember to stop and not be impulsive.


A shares: The latest release of the National Development and Reform Commission! Don't wait, there will be no accidents next week.The latest release of Shanghai Stock ExchangeIn addition, the science and technology sector has obviously started to weaken recently and entered a short-term adjustment trend, with more backward consumption. In my opinion, this is all normal. The previous performance is better than the big consumption. We need to take a break and make up for the consumption sector, so that the market is benign. The short-term adjustment of the science and technology sector does not mean the end of the market, but it is an opportunity to re-intervene, but we have to wait for short-term stabilization.


For next week's trend as a whole, we still have to be prepared for it. If it can stabilize above 3392 points on Monday, the short-term trend will not weaken completely, and the market may once again challenge the pressure level in the short term. If it breaks above 3425 points, the upside will be opened again. If once the support level near 3392 points falls, the short-term trend will weaken completely, so it is very possible for everyone to reduce their positions substantially in time and prepare for further weakening, and it is very possible to test the support of the lower rail again. The previous callback was to stop falling and stabilize near the lower rail, and this time this possibility is not ruled out, so it is necessary to make good or bad plans in advance, otherwise you will be at a loss.Nine departments issued "Guiding Opinions on Financial Support for Chinese-style Endowment Service for High-quality Development of Silver-haired Economy"The concept of providing for the aged and the concept of silver-haired economy also belong to the big consumption field, so there are still many sub-sectors in the consumption sector that are worth exploring, and this field has a broad prospect. After all, the aging process will accelerate again, and the certainty of the foreseeable future is still relatively large.

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